Prediction markets in depth

Created over 7 years ago, updated about 6 years ago

ID25290

A⁻A⁺

## Robin Hanson

- FUTARCHY [Shall We Vote on Values, But Bet on Beliefs?](http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download;jsessionid=BB780B1E93A582F21E78E5A4416AF9DD?doi=10.1.1.71.8309&rep=rep1&type=pdf) Robin Hanson  http://mason.gmu.edu/~rhanson/futarchy.html

> Elected representatives would oversee the after-the-fact measurement of national welfare, while market speculators would say which policies they expect to raise national welfare

[Idea Futures Publications](http://mason.gmu.edu/~rhanson/ifpubs.html)

[Decision markets -Robin D. Hanson](http://mason.gmu.edu/~rhanson/decisionmarkets.pdf) 1999 one of the first papers 

## practical projects/businesses

https://www.augur.net/
https://prediqt.everipedia.org/

[Facebook tests **Forecast,an app for making predictions about world events**,like COVID-19](https://knowen-production.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/attachment/file/4594/Facebook%2Btests%2BForecast_%2Ban%2Bapp%2Bfor%2Bmaking%2Bpredictions%2Babout%2Bworld%2Bevents_%2Blike%2BCOVID-19%2BTechCrunch.pdf)

##  [Economic Culture and Prediction Markets](http://www.iiis.org/CDs2010/CD2010IMC/IMCIC_2010/PapersPdf/ZA700ES.pdf)

- [Рынки предсказаний и блокчейн: Как это работает](https://ru.ihodl.com/opinion/2019-05-21/rynki-predskazanij-i-blokchejn-kak-eto-rabotaet/)

[Почему политики боятся рынков предсказаний](https://ru.ihodl.com/opinion/2019-05-16/pochemu-politiki-boyatsya-rynkov-predskazanij/)Copy