Prediction markets in depth

Robin Hanson

• FUTARCHY Shall We Vote on Values, But Bet on Beliefs? Robin Hanson http://mason.gmu.edu/~rhanson/futarchy.html

Elected representatives would oversee the after-the-fact measurement of national welfare, while market speculators would say which policies they expect to raise national welfare

Idea Futures Publications

Decision markets -Robin D. Hanson 1999 one of the first papers

practical projects/businesses

https://www.augur.net/
https://prediqt.everipedia.org/

Facebook tests Forecast,an app for making predictions about world events,like COVID-19

Economic Culture and Prediction Markets

• Рынки предсказаний и блокчейн: Как это работает

Почему политики боятся рынков предсказаний