# Analogies - UR war


## with 1st World War

Isolation of Germany led to 2nd World War. 
But Soviet Union and Germany were cooperating up to 1939 and captured Poland from two sides.

a question - how to prevent post-agressions by Russia?

-  possible routes for Russia post-2nd Ukranian War

a) internal revolt and a change of government
a1. military government a2. moderates
b) economic isolation
b1. weak North Korea b2. strong nazi-Germany 2.0

## with 2nd World War

powerful country was defeated. Necessary to have a vision for people - Marshall plan⏎
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## Iran 

## North Korea

## Putin
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- https://www.newstatesman.com/culture/2022/03/a-tale-of-two-dictators-why-putin-is-beholden-to-stalins-legacy
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“The demise of the Soviet Union,” Putin said, “was the greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the century”: in 1991, it enabled Ukraine to claim independence.
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In the nuclear age, Stalin was careful. In 1948, he tested US resolve in the Berlin blockade but, faced with a defiant airlift, he retreated; in 1950, he launched the Korean War – but carefully kept his distance, using North Koreans and Chinese as proxies
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At 69, Putin is the same age as Stalin when he blockaded Berlin. It is hard to imagine anyone could be more isolated than the old Stalin
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As this **atrocious war and Western sanctions corrode Russian society, Stalinist terror will become essential** to Putin’s hold on power
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https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1576192/Vladimir-Putin-similarities-Joseph-Stalin-compared-evg
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- https://slippedisc.com/2022/03/valentin-silvestrov-putin-is-a-terrorist-like-bin-laden-hunt-him-down/
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# Parents

* Analysis - UR war