Optionality in Life and Prediction
The Psychology of Prediction Dec 20, 2019 by Morgan Housel
tech paper From Probability to Consilience: How Explanatory Values Implement Bayesian Reasoning by Zachary Wojtowicz, Simon DeDeo
why optionality and complexity in life and politics?
For instance, in politics, "anything goes" politician (Trump?) has advantage from the game theory and additional optionality perspective. Such a politician has "asymmetric power". This is also an answer to Bob Laughlin, who complaints that the business world is badly intentioned and artificially complicated. See Business Models and The Value of Information